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Analysis

The Vote: From 27% to 100%

How ranked-choice voting was weaponized through post-hoc disqualification to override the will of over 72% of voters.

Case 13 Case 24 Case 27 Bias Results

Round 1: What Voters Actually Chose

5,513 students cast ballots for Executive Vice President of External Affairs. The first-round results:

Kaleb Truchan37.95% · 2,092
Aydin Yelkovan34.32% · 1,892
Ricardo Miranda27.73% · 1,529

Miranda came in last place. In a normal ranked-choice election, the last-place candidate is eliminated first, and their votes are redistributed. Instead, the two candidates ahead of Miranda were both disqualified.

The Post-Hoc Timing

This is the critical detail: both disqualifications were announced after the voting period had already closed.

Timeline

Voting period: April 6, 10:00 AM — April 10, 4:00 PM

Case 27 hearing (disqualifying strike): April 10, during/after voting

Disqualification announced: After polls closed

Over 5,500 students voted without any knowledge that their preferred candidates would be removed. They had no opportunity to reconsider their ballots.

Round 2: The Transfer

After disqualification, here's how the votes were transferred according to the official tabulation:

Truchan's 2,092 ballots

846 transferred to Miranda (ranked 2nd)

1,049 transferred to Miranda (ranked 3rd)

197 exhausted (did not rank Miranda)

Yelkovan's 1,892 ballots

822 transferred to Miranda (ranked 2nd)

968 transferred to Miranda (ranked 3rd)

102 exhausted (did not rank Miranda)

The Final Tally

Kaleb TruchanDISQUALIFIED
Aydin YelkovanDISQUALIFIED
Ricardo Miranda100% · 5,214

Miranda went from 1,529 votes (27.73%) to 5,214 votes (100%). He received not only the votes of people who ranked him second, but also those who ranked him third — and the tabulation treated all transfers identically.

The RCV Problem

Standard ranked-choice voting works by eliminating candidates one at a time, starting with the last-place finisher. Voters' ballots then transfer to their next-ranked choice. This process repeats until one candidate achieves 50% + 1.

That's not what happened here.

What Should Have Happened

Even accepting the disqualifications as valid (which is disputed), the RCV process was misapplied:

The 50% + 1 Requirement & Robert's Rules

The Elections Code requires a candidate to achieve 50% + 1 to win. But under Robert's Rules of Order — which the Judicial Board itself upheld as the governing parliamentary standard for ASUCSD elections in a 2014 grievance case — votes cast for disqualified candidates are voided but still count toward the total when calculating whether a majority has been reached.

The Math

Total ballots cast: 5,513

Majority threshold (50% + 1): 2,757

Miranda's first-choice votes: 1,529 (27.73%)

Miranda's "final" tally after transfers: 5,214

But 3,984 of those votes came from disqualified candidates. Under Robert's Rules, those ballots are voided — they cannot transfer to another candidate. They still count toward the total of 5,513, meaning Miranda needed 2,757 to win. He had 1,529. He never reached a majority.

In a normal election, Miranda — as the last-place finisher — would have been eliminated first. His ballots would have been redistributed to Truchan and Yelkovan. The question of whether Miranda could ever reach 50% + 1 would never have arisen.

For Comparison

In the same election, the Essential Needs VP race used standard RCV:

Race Round 1 Leader Winner Method
Essential Needs VP Camila Gutierrez (43.3%) Camila Gutierrez (56.5%) Standard RCV — last place eliminated, votes transfer normally
External Affairs VP Kaleb Truchan (38.0%) Ricardo Miranda (100%) Both opponents disqualified post-hoc — all votes transferred to last-place finisher

In one race, the first-round leader won through legitimate vote transfer. In the other, the last-place finisher won through administrative disqualification of every opponent.

The Bottom Line

72.27% of voters chose someone other than Miranda as their first choice. Both Yelkovan and Truchan were disqualified on speech-based grounds, announced only after voting closed. Their votes were transferred to give the last-place incumbent a reported 100% — but under Robert's Rules of Order, the standard the Judicial Board itself upheld in a 2014 case, voided ballots still count toward the total. Miranda received 1,529 of 5,513 votes. He needed 2,757 for a majority. He never got there.
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